Treasury 10-year yield today?

Apr 23, 2025

13h 31m 13s

Chance

$5,875,955vol

4.23% or below

--%

4.23% or below

--%

4.24% to 4.26%

--%

4.24% to 4.26%

--%

4.27% to 4.29%

--%

4.27% to 4.29%

--%

12 more markets

Rules summary for

4.23% or below

If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is below 4.24 % on Apr 23, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Department of the Treasury.

The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Apr 23, 2025, or one week following Apr 23, 2025. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

About

The 10-year Treasury yield is a critical economic indicator, closely monitored by investors and economists worldwide. It represents the return investors can expect when they buy these government bonds, which are considered among the safest investments. The yield serves as a benchmark for other interest rates, influencing various economic and financial conditions, from mortgage rates to the cost of borrowing for corporations. Its movements are a barometer of broader economic health, reflecting investor sentiment about future inflation, growth prospects, and the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy actions.

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