Treasury 10-year yield on Mar 4, 2026?
Treasury 10-year yield on Mar 4, 2026?
4.05% to 4.07%
No
4.05% to 4.07%
No
4.08% to 4.1%
Yes
4.08% to 4.1%
Yes
4.11% to 4.13%
No
4.11% to 4.13%
No
12 more
Market Rules
3.86% or below
If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is below 3.87 % on Mar 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Department of the Treasury.
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Mar 4, 2026, or one week following Mar 4, 2026.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 3, 2026 · 4:30pm EST
Market closedMar 4, 2026 · 3:25pm EST
Paid outMar 4, 2026 · 4:25pm EST
SeriesKXTNOTED
EventKXTNOTED-26MAR04
MarketKXTNOTED-26MAR04-T3.87
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
The 10-year Treasury yield is a critical economic indicator, closely monitored by investors and economists worldwide. It represents the return investors can expect when they buy these government bonds, which are considered among the safest investments. The yield serves as a benchmark for other interest rates, influencing various economic and financial conditions, from mortgage rates to the cost of borrowing for corporations. Its movements are a barometer of broader economic health, reflecting investor sentiment about future inflation, growth prospects, and the US Federal Reserve’s monetary policy actions.