Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 5, 2026? Odds & Predictions
Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 5, 2026?
Treasury 10-year yield on Jun 5, 2026?
4.51% to 4.53%
4.51% to 4.53%
4.54% to 4.56%
4.54% to 4.56%
4.57% to 4.59%
4.57% to 4.59%
12 more
Market Rules
4.26% or below
If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is below 4.27 % on Jun 5, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from U.S. Department of the Treasury.
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jun 5, 2026, or one week following Jun 5, 2026.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 29, 2026 · 4:30pm EDT
Market closedJun 5, 2026 · 3:25pm EDT
Projected payoutJun 5, 2026 · 4:25pm EDT
SeriesKXTNOTEW
EventKXTNOTEW-26JUN05
MarketKXTNOTEW-26JUN05-T4.27
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
The 10-year Treasury yield is a crucial economic indicator that reflects investor confidence and broader financial conditions. It is influenced by factors such as investor sentiment, interest rates, and inflation. The yield serves as a benchmark for mortgage rates and is closely watched by economists and investors alike. Recent data shows the 10-year Treasury yield has been volatile, with significant changes in response to economic news. For instance, on June 7, 2024, the yield jumped from 4.28% to 4.43% due to concerns about the risk of recession following solid economic data.