Treasury 10-year yield on Friday?
Treasury 10-year yield on Friday?
Chance
4.5% to 4.52%
17%
▲ 8
4.5% to 4.52%
17%
▲ 8
4.53% to 4.55%
17%
▲ 7
4.53% to 4.55%
17%
▲ 7
4.56% to 4.58%
10%
4.56% to 4.58%
10%
12 more
Market Rules
4.28% or below
If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury note is below 4.29 % on Jun 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Department of the Treasury.
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jun 12, 2026, or one week following Jun 12, 2026.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 5, 2026 · 4:30pm EDT
Market closesJun 12, 2026 · 3:25pm EDT
Projected payoutJun 12, 2026 · 4:25pm EDT
SeriesKXTNOTEW
EventKXTNOTEW-26JUN12
MarketKXTNOTEW-26JUN12-T4.29
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
The 10-year Treasury yield is a crucial economic indicator that reflects investor confidence and broader financial conditions. It is influenced by factors such as investor sentiment, interest rates, and inflation. The yield serves as a benchmark for mortgage rates and is closely watched by economists and investors alike. Recent data shows the 10-year Treasury yield has been volatile, with significant changes in response to economic news. For instance, on June 7, 2024, the yield jumped from 4.28% to 4.43% due to concerns about the risk of recession following solid economic data.