Treasury 10-year yield on May 1, 2026?
Treasury 10-year yield on May 1, 2026?
4.34% to 4.36%
No
4.34% to 4.36%
No
4.37% to 4.39%
Yes
4.37% to 4.39%
Yes
4.4% to 4.42%
No
4.4% to 4.42%
No
12 more
Market Rules
4.15% or below
If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is below 4.16 % on May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Department of the Treasury.
The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for May 1, 2026, or one week following May 1, 2026.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 24, 2026 · 4:30pm EDT
Market closedMay 1, 2026 · 3:25pm EDT
Paid outMay 1, 2026 · 4:25pm EDT
SeriesKXTNOTEW
EventKXTNOTEW-26MAY01
MarketKXTNOTEW-26MAY01-T4.16
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
The 10-year Treasury yield is a crucial economic indicator that reflects investor confidence and broader financial conditions. It is influenced by factors such as investor sentiment, interest rates, and inflation. The yield serves as a benchmark for mortgage rates and is closely watched by economists and investors alike. Recent data shows the 10-year Treasury yield has been volatile, with significant changes in response to economic news. For instance, on June 7, 2024, the yield jumped from 4.28% to 4.43% due to concerns about the risk of recession following solid economic data.