Will another Tory MP defect to Reform before March?
Will another Tory MP defect to Reform before March?
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
Resolves Yes if any sitting Conservative MP announces they are joining Reform UK after issuance and before Mar 1, 2026.Outcome verified from the UK Parliament, Reform UK, the Conservatives, the BBC, NBC, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
Merely supporting individual candidates for Reform UK is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 26, 2026 · 7:00pm EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXTORYMPJOINREFORM
EventKXTORYMPJOINREFORM-26
MarketKXTORYMPJOINREFORM-26-TMP
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