Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic this year?
Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic this year?
Chance
Above 12
65%
▲ 25
Above 12
65%
▲ 25
Above 14
47%
▲ 9
Above 14
47%
▲ 9
Above 16
27%
Above 16
27%
5 more
Market Rules
Above 10
If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 10 storms with maximum sustained windspeeds of 39 miles per hour or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 1, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesDec 1, 2026 · 11:59pm EST
Projected payoutDec 2, 2026 · 10:00am EST
SeriesKXTROPSTORM
EventKXTROPSTORM-26DEC01
MarketKXTROPSTORM-26DEC01-T10
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be above-normal due to La Niña and warmer-than-average ocean temperatures. NOAA forecasts an 85% chance of an above-normal season, which spans from June 1 to November 30. AccuWeather experts warn of explosive tropical development, especially in the second half of the season, as the El Niño pattern transitions to La Niña. Record-breaking ocean temperatures in the Atlantic are fueling concerns about a dangerous hurricane season, with temperatures currently warmer than ever recorded for this time of year.