How long will Trump speak for at his July 4th rally?
How long will Trump speak for at his July 4th rally?
Begins on Saturday · Jul 4, 7:00pm EDT
Chance
50 or above
36%
▼ 17
50 or above
36%
▼ 17
55 or above
51%
▲ 10
55 or above
51%
▲ 10
60 or above
34%
▲ 6
60 or above
34%
▲ 6
7 more
Market Rules
30 or above
Resolves Yes if Donald Trump speaks for 30 or above minutes at July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally before Jul 5, 2026.Outcome verified from person, BBC, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, official broadcasters of event, The Washington Post, NBC, Axios, venue hosting event, organizers of event, Fox News, Reuters, The New York Times, Politico, Semafor, MSNBC, CNN, the Associated Press, ABC, video of event, CBS, and Bloomberg News.
Speaking will be measured from first word audibly said by Trump to the last word audibly said by Trump. Pauses in speech will be included in the speech time if they are between those two points. Words picked up on a hot mic during Donald Trump's entrance & exit will not count.
Timeline and payout
Market openJul 2, 2026 · 2:19pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION
EventKXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526
MarketKXTRUMPMENTIONDURATION-JUL0526-29
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30 or above
Odds
0% chanceMax payout