Who will win the Special Election for TX-18?
Who will win the Special Election for TX-18?
Christian Menefee
Democratic
Yes
Christian Menefee
Democratic
Yes
Amanda Edwards
Democratic
No
Amanda Edwards
Democratic
No
Carmen Maria Montiel
Republican
No
Carmen Maria Montiel
Republican
No
3 more
Market Rules
Christian Menefee
Resolves Yes if Christian Menefee wins the 2026 TX-18 special election.Outcome verified from the relevant state Secretary of State or chief election officer, U.S. House of Representatives, and the Federal Election Commission.
This market is inclusive of any runoff that may take place in this election if no candidate receives a majority of the vote in the top-two primary. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Timeline and payout
Market openOct 27, 2025 · 12:00pm EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXTX18SPECIAL
EventKXTX18SPECIAL-26
MarketKXTX18SPECIAL-26-CMEN
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event