The margin is calculated as percentage points: the difference between the vote/seat share of the specified candidate/party and their nearest competitor. Positive margins indicate victory, negative margins indicate loss, and zero indicates a tie. For percentage points, this is the difference in vote share percentages. For raw votes, this is the difference in total vote counts. For electoral votes, this is the difference in electoral votes received. For seat difference, this is the difference in total seats held after the election. Only certified official results are used for resolution. If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, or no certified results are available by expiration, all markets resolve to No.