Series Image

SpaceX Starship 8th launch?

Before March 1 19%
Live bets: Kalshi.com
4:41 PM5:26 PM6:12 PM6:57 PM7:42 PM18.9%19.2%19.5%19.8%20.1%
1W
1M
ALL

What is Kalshi?
Kalshi is the first regulated platform in the US where you can trade on events, just like stocks. Think of it as the NYSE, but for things you relate to, care about, and understand.
SpaceX Starship (8th launch)
% Chance
$1,164,605vol

Before February 15
--%
Before February 15
--%

Before March 1
19%
-1
Before March 1
19%
-1

Before March 15
66%
Before March 15
66%

Rules summary for
Before March 15
If SpaceX launches the Starship again by Mar 14, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FAA.

Timeline and payout

Trading prohibitions
About
Space Exploration Technologies Corp., commonly known as SpaceX, has developed Starship, a fully reusable spacecraft designed for missions to the moon, Mars, and beyond. Starship aims to eventually land crews on Mars and is currently undergoing testing with unmanned flights.
What's happening
New
SpaceX's Starship rocket is set to launch for the sixth time, with the company aiming to send the vehicle to an altitude of about 150 miles. The test flight, scheduled for Sunday, comes after a series of previous attempts that ended in explosions or other issues. This launch will be a crucial step towards establishing the Starship as a reliable spacecraft capable of carrying both people and cargo to the moon, Mars, and other destinations.
What's happening
Nov 13, 2024
SpaceX is planning its sixth integrated Starship/Super Heavy flight for November 18, 2024, from its Starbase facility at Boca Chica, Texas. This flight will include several key changes, such as a relight of a Raptor engine on Starship while in flight to demonstrate the ability to perform a deorbit burn on future orbital missions, and tests on the thermal protection system with new secondary thermal protection materials and sections of heat shield tiles removed[1][2]. The launch is scheduled for a 30-minute window opening at 5 p.m. Eastern, allowing for a daylight splashdown in the Indian Ocean, unlike previous morning launches[1][4].
What's happening
Nov 13, 2024
The sixth flight test of Starship is targeted to launch as early as Monday, November 18, with a 30-minute launch window opening at 4:00 p.m. CT. This test aims to expand the capabilities of both the ship and the booster, including the booster returning to the launch site for catch, reigniting a ship Raptor engine while in space, and testing heatshield experiments and maneuvering changes for ship reentry and descent over the Indian Ocean. The mission will also assess new secondary thermal protection materials and intentionally fly at a higher angle of attack in the final phase of descent to gain data on future landing profiles.
What's happening
Nov 13, 2024
The sixth flight test of **Starship** is targeted to launch as early as Monday, November 18, with a 30-minute launch window opening at 4:00 p.m. CT. This test aims to expand the envelope on ship and booster capabilities, including the booster returning to the launch site for catch, reigniting a ship Raptor engine while in space, and testing heatshield experiments and maneuvering changes for ship reentry and descent over the Indian Ocean. The flight test will also assess new secondary thermal protection materials and intentionally fly at a higher angle of attack in the final phase of descent to gain data on future landing profiles.
What's happening
Nov 13, 2024
The sixth flight test of Starship is targeted to launch as early as Monday, November 18, with a 30-minute launch window opening at 4:00 p.m. CT. This flight test aims to expand the envelope on ship and booster capabilities, including the booster returning to the launch site for catch, reigniting a ship Raptor engine while in space, and testing heatshield experiments and maneuvering changes for ship reentry and descent over the Indian Ocean. The mission will also attempt an in-space burn using a single Raptor engine, further demonstrating the capabilities required for a ship deorbit burn prior to orbital missions.
What's happening
Nov 12, 2024
SpaceX is targeting a sixth flight test of their Starship vehicle by as early as next week, aiming for a launch on Monday, Nov. 18. A 30-minute launch window will open at 4 p.m. CT that day. The next Starship flight test aims to expand the envelope on ship and booster capabilities and get closer to bringing reuse of the entire system online[5].
What's happening
Nov 9, 2024
The sixth test flight of Starship, the largest and most powerful rocket to ever fly, is scheduled to launch no earlier than 5 p.m. EST on Monday, November 18. This mission will attempt to pluck the Super Heavy booster from the sky after it hurtles toward Earth at supersonic speeds, and will also test an in-flight burn with one of the six Raptor engines to demonstrate a deorbit burn capability. Additionally, the Starship upper stage will reenter the atmosphere at a higher angle of attack to gauge the performance of a new heat shield configuration.
What's happening
Nov 8, 2024
SpaceX is targeting November 18 for the launch of Starship Flight 6, a suborbital mission that will include a relight of one of the Raptor vacuum engines during the rocket’s coast phase to demonstrate capabilities required for a ship deorbit burn prior to orbital missions. The mission will also test the limits of Starship’s thermal protection system, including new secondary thermal protection materials and sections of heat shield tiles removed to study catch-enabling hardware for future vehicles. The launch is scheduled for 4 p.m. CST (5 p.m. EST, 2200 UTC) from Starbase in southern Texas, with the splashdown in the Indian Ocean planned during daylight hours.
What's happening
Nov 8, 2024
The sixth test flight of Starship, the largest and most powerful rocket to ever fly, is scheduled to launch no earlier than 5 p.m. EST on Monday, November 18. This mission will include another attempt to catch the Super Heavy booster using a pair of metal "chopstick" arms, a maneuver that demonstrated reusability in the previous test flight. Additionally, the Starship upper stage will perform an in-flight burn with one of its six Raptor engines to simulate a deorbit burn, a critical step for future missions to the moon and Mars.
Series Image
SpaceX Starship 8th launch?
Buy Yes · Before March 15
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side
Contracts0
Average price
71¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0