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Series Image
  1. Inflation

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Begins in 74 days · Jan 13, 6:00am EST
Chance
Overheating
Below 5% unemployment and at least 3.5% inflation
89.1%
▲ 11.1

Overheating

Below 5% unemployment and at least 3.5% inflation
89.1%
▲ 11.1
Soft landing
Below 5% unemployment and below 3.5% inflation
7.5%
▼ 10.5

Soft landing

Below 5% unemployment and below 3.5% inflation
7.5%
▼ 10.5
Stagflation
At least 5% unemployment and at least 3.5% inflation
1.2%
▼ 1.2

Stagflation

At least 5% unemployment and at least 3.5% inflation
1.2%
▼ 1.2
Slack / disinflation
At least 5% unemployment and below 3.5% inflation
0.2%

Slack / disinflation

At least 5% unemployment and below 3.5% inflation
0.2%
State of the economy at the end of 2026

Overheating

Odds
95% chance
Max payout
Jan 13, 2027
$0
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