US GDP growth in Q1 2025?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
%
▼ 00
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Q1 2025
% Chance
$1,457,246vol
Above 2.0%
70%
-2
Above 2.5%
47%
Above 3.0%
28%
Above 3.5%
14%
Rules summary for
Above 2.5%
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 2.5, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis.
The market will close at 8:25 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q1 2025, or one week following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA. Timeline and payout
About
The US GDP, or Gross Domestic Product, is a key economic metric that measures the total value of all goods and services produced within the country. It is a vital indicator of the nation's economic health and performance. The U.S. boasts the world's largest economy, driven by diverse sectors such as technology, finance, manufacturing, and services. GDP growth is influenced by factors like consumer spending, business investments, government expenditures, and trade. Fun fact: If California were a separate country, it would be the 5th largest economy in the world, highlighting the magnitude of the US economy.
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