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This January is the hottest January ever?

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Jan 2025 (+1)
$933,224vol
Order book
Order book
Rules summary
If Jan 2025 is the hottest January ever, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from NCEI.
Timeline and payout
About
2023 was the hottest year ever recorded, with June through December reaching all-time highs for their respective months. How long will that trend continue into 2024?
What's happening
New
The January – September 2024 global mean surface air temperature was 1.54 °C (with a margin of uncertainty of ±0.13°C) above the pre-industrial average, boosted by a warming El Niño event. This indicates a strong warming trend, but it does not specifically address November's temperature record. The year 2024 is on track to be the warmest year on record, with the past 10 years being the warmest decade on record[1].
World Meteorological Organization (WMO)
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This January is the hottest January ever?
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Contracts0
Average price
77¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0