The President's 538 approval rating on Mar 5, 2025?
The President's 538 approval rating on Mar 5, 2025?
47.1% to 47.5%
No
47.1% to 47.5%
No
47.6% to 48%
No
47.6% to 48%
No
48.1% to 48.5%
No
48.1% to 48.5%
No
3 more
Market Rules
47% or below
If the President's approval rating according to FiveThirtyEight is below 47.1% on March 05, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FiveThirtyEight.
The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on March 05, 2025. The market will expire at the sooner of the 10:00 AM on the first day after March 05, 2025 in which data is available for March 05, 2025, or one week after March 05, 2025.
Timeline and payout
Market openFeb 26, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closedMar 5, 2025 · 11:59pm EST
Paid outMar 6, 2025 · 11:00am EST
SeriesKX538APPROVE
EventKX538APPROVE-25MAR05
MarketKX538APPROVE-25MAR05-T47.1
Insider trading is prohibited
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About
The president's future hangs in the balance, as voters weigh in on his handling of the economy, inflation, and the war in Ukraine. Around this time in his presidency, Trump had a similar approval rating! 538 calculates its approval rating by averaging polls from a variety of sources, weighted by their accuracy and methodology.