How low will US gas prices get this year? Odds & Predictions 2026
How low will US gas prices get this year?
How low will US gas prices get this year?
Begins in 204 days · Dec 31, 12:00am EST
Chance
Below $3.80
69%
▲ 33
Below $3.80
69%
▲ 33
Below $3.60
61%
▼ 4
Below $3.60
61%
▼ 4
Below $3.40
49%
▼ 3
Below $3.40
49%
▼ 3
7 more
Market Rules
Below $3.80
If AAA reports that the price of national average regular gas for the US is less than $3.80 at any time from Issuance through Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from AAA.
Please note: This market only considers AAA prices posted from Issuance (March 23, 2026) through December 31, 2026, inclusive; prices reported earlier in 2026 do not count.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 23, 2026 · 8:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout1 hour after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10:15am, 11am, or 3pm ET. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2026 at 1:25am EST.
SeriesKXAAAGASMIN
EventKXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31
MarketKXAAAGASMIN-26DEC31-3.80
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.