Inflation in 2025?
Inflation in 2025?
2.1% to 2.5%
No
2.1% to 2.5%
No
2.6% to 3%
Yes
2.6% to 3%
Yes
3.1% to 3.5%
No
3.1% to 3.5%
No
10 more
Market Rules
0.5% or below
If the 12-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items is below 0.6% in 2025 according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Please note that the value is rounded to the nearest tenth of a percent, as is reported in the monthly BLS CPI news releases. Else, the market resolves to No. Please see ACPI in the Rulebook for the legally binding terms and conditions.
The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the earliest day the data is expected to be released. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or fourteen days thereafter.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 20, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closedJan 13, 2026 · 8:25am EST
Paid outJan 13, 2026 · 9:25am EST
SeriesKXACPI
EventKXACPI-2025
MarketKXACPI-2025-0.6
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
U.S. yearly inflation, typically measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), represents the percentage increase in the general price level of goods and services over a one-year period. It's a crucial economic indicator reflecting changes in the cost of living for consumers. The highest yearly inflation in the past 50 years was in 1980, when it reached 14.5%. At the time unemployment was also at 7.5%.