Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Félix Tshisekedi 19%
Live bets: Kalshi.com
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before 2035
Chance
$3,008vol
Félix Tshisekedi
President of the DRC19%
William Ruto
President of Kenya13%
Bola Tinubu
President of Nigeria36%
7 more markets
Rules summary for
Bola Tinubu
If the President of Nigeria is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, ABC, NBC, MSNBC, Semafor, Axios, The Information, Fox News, Politico, Bloomberg, and AP.
An announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title. If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Timeline and payout
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
Buy Yes · Bola TinubuPresident of NigeriaBuy
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