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Will the $130M troop-pay donor be named this month? Odds & Predictions 2025
Politics
Will the $130M troop-pay donor be named this month?
Politics
Will the $130M troop-pay donor be named this month?
Order book
Yes
Market Rules
Before 2026
The outcome is Yes
Resolves Yes if
the full name of at least one donor who allegedly provided the $130 million gift accepted by the U.S. Department of Defense to help cover military pay during the 2025 shutdown (including reports relying on anonymous/unnamed sources) is reported by any of the Source Agencies before Nov 1, 2025
.
Outcome verified from
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Bloomberg News
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
,
MSNBC
,
NBC
,
The Guardian
,
South China Morning Post
,
CBC
,
ABC
,
BBC
,
The Washington Post
, and
ABC News Australia
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Oct 24, 2025 · 5:30pm EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Oct 25, 2025 at 8:13pm EDT.
Series
KXANONYMOUSDONOR
Event
KXANONYMOUSDONOR-26
Market
KXANONYMOUSDONOR-26
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Before 2026
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
Sign up to trade
$5,757 vol