Important information: Data sources for this market have potentially changed. Please read the additional details below for more information.
Arctic sea ice minimum extent summer 2025?
Arctic sea ice minimum extent summer 2025?
Below 4.8 million sq km
Yes
Below 4.8 million sq km
Yes
Below 4.6 million sq km
Yes
Below 4.6 million sq km
Yes
Below 4.5 million sq km
No
Below 4.5 million sq km
No
10 more
Market Rules
Below 5.2 million sq km
Resolves Yes if the National Snow & Ice Data Center records a day between December 19, 2024 and October 01, 2025 where the extent of arctic sea ice is below 5.2 million square kilometers.Outcome verified from National Snow & Ice Data Center.
Clarification (7/1/25 at 3:15am ET): On June 25, 2025, the National Snow and Ice Data Center reported that the Department of Defense will stop processing and delivering data required to resolve this market. If the NSDIC replaces this dataset with something else by the Expiration Date, that data will be used to resolve the market. If no dataset is available on the Expiration Date, then Rule 7.2 of Kalshi’s Rulebook will be invoked, and data from JAXA (https://earth.jaxa.jp/en/data/products/sea-ice/index.html) will be used to resolve the market.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 3, 2025 · 2:00pm EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 hour after closing
SeriesKXARCTICICEMIN
EventKXARCTICICEMIN-25OCT01
MarketKXARCTICICEMIN-25OCT01-T5.2
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Below 5.2 million sq km
Odds
0% chanceMax payout