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Climate change

Daily temperature

Hourly temperature

Natural disasters

This September is the hottest September ever?

Yes

10.4x

No

1.08x

$22,358 vol1 market

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

Yes

1.33x

No

2.98x

$350,897 vol1 market

September temperature increase?

1.30001 or above

1.23x

1.24 to 1.30

3.18x

$7,188 vol6 markets

US meets its climate goals?

By 2030

4.98x

By 2025

8.56x

$62,752 vol2 markets

India meets its 2030 climate goals?

Yes

1.55x

No

2.52x

$12,889 vol1 market

EU meets its 2030 climate goals?

Yes

2.40x

No

1.62x

$4,276 vol1 market

Lowest daily Arctic sea ice extent in summer 2026

Below 4.5 million sq km

18.8x

Below 4.4 million sq km

46.8x

$16,625 vol9 markets

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Yes

1.23x

No

3.80x

$17,547 vol1 market