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Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Australian House Election?

Liberal/National Coalition party 73%
Labor party 27%
Centre Alliance party 1%
Live bets: Kalshi.com
NovNovDecJanFeb0%20%40%60%80%
1W
1M
ALL

The 2025 Election
% Chance
$5,635vol

Liberal/National Coalition party
73%
Liberal/National Coalition party
73%

Labor party
27%
-4
Labor party
27%
-4

Centre Alliance party
<1%
Centre Alliance party
<1%

2 more markets

Rules summary for
Liberal/National Coalition party
If the Liberal/National Coalition party wins the most seats in the Australian House of Representatives after the 2025 election, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from ABC.
If the top two parties win the same number of seats, all will resolve to No. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

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Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Australian House Election?
Buy Yes · Liberal/National Coalition party
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