What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
Chance
At least 3000
72%
At least 3000
72%
At least 3500
39%
At least 3500
39%
At least 4000
55%
At least 4000
55%
9 more
Market Rules
At least 2000
If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 2000, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from CDC.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 4, 2025 · 3:00pm EDT
Market closesJan 1, 2029 · 10:00am EST
Projected payoutJan 1, 2029 · 10:30am EST
SeriesKXAVGMEASLESDJT
EventKXAVGMEASLESDJT-29
MarketKXAVGMEASLESDJT-29-2000
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