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U.S. oil production per day this year Odds & Predictions 2026
Economics
·
Oil and energy
U.S. oil production per day this year
Economics
·
Oil and energy
U.S. oil production per day this year
Begins in
200 days
·
Dec 31, 10:00pm EST
Chance
At least 13.80M bpd
63%
▼ 5
Yes
71¢
No
37¢
At least 13.80M bpd
63%
▼ 5
Yes
71¢
No
37¢
At least 13.90M bpd
43%
Yes
47¢
No
61¢
At least 13.90M bpd
43%
Yes
47¢
No
61¢
At least 14.00M bpd
14%
Yes
27¢
No
82¢
At least 14.00M bpd
14%
Yes
27¢
No
82¢
4 more
Market Rules
At least 13.75M bpd
If the U.S. produces at least 13.75 million barrels of oil per day, between Issuance and before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
U.S. Energy Information Administration
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Bloomberg News
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
,
MSNBC
, and
NBC
.
For the purposes of this market, 1,000 thousand barrels per day = 1.00M bpd.
View full rules
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Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Mar 11, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59pm EST.
Series
KXBARRELS
Event
KXBARRELS-26
Market
KXBARRELS-26-13.75
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.