Who will win the National Book Award for Fiction?
Who will win the National Book Award for Fiction?
The True True Story of Raja the Gullible (and His Mother)
Rabih Alameddine
Yes
The True True Story of Raja the Gullible (and His Mother)
Rabih Alameddine
Yes
A Guardian and a Thief
Megha Majumdar
No
A Guardian and a Thief
Megha Majumdar
No
Flashlight
Susan Choi
No
Flashlight
Susan Choi
No
8 more
Important information: The following market can only have one Yes outcome. If two nominees tie then the market called 'Tie' will resolve to Yes.
Market Rules
The True True Story of Raja the Gullible (and His Mother)
Resolves Yes if 'The True True Story of Raja the Gullible (and His Mother)' wins the Fiction award at 76th National Book Awards.Outcome verified from National Book Awards.
The 76th National Book Awards will take place Wednesday, November 19, 2025.
Timeline and payout
Market openSep 25, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXBOOKAWARDSFIC
EventKXBOOKAWARDSFIC-25
MarketKXBOOKAWARDSFIC-25-TRU
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
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The True True Story of Raja the Gullible (and His Mother)
Odds
0% chanceMax payout