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What share of the vote will the CDU/CSU get in the German election?

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forecast
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The 2025 election
% Chance
$19,994vol

20% to 24.9%
--%
20% to 24.9%
--%

25% to 30%
35%
25% to 30%
35%

30.1% or above
66%
30.1% or above
66%

3 more markets

Rules summary for
30.1% or above
If CDU/CSU receives 30.1% or above share of the vote in the 2025 federal German election, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Federal Returning Officer of Germany.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

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What share of the vote will the CDU/CSU get in the German election?
Buy Yes · 30.1% or above
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side
Contracts0
Average price
70¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0