The individual must announce their campaign. Statements of intent, plans, or consideration to run in the future do not satisfy this requirement. Filing with the FEC (or similar entity) does not constitute an announcement.
Will Susan Collins run for reelection?
Will Susan Collins run for reelection?
$52,553 vol
Order book
Yes
Market Rules
The outcome is Yes
If Susan Collins has announced that they will run for Maine's U.S. Senate seat in 2026 before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, and Susan Collins.
The person must publicly announce their campaign, and it must be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 14, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXCOLLINSSENATERUN
EventKXCOLLINSSENATERUN-26NOV03
MarketKXCOLLINSSENATERUN-26NOV03
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
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