Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
Begins in 125 days · Oct 14, 8:00am EDT
Chance
Above 3.0%
43%
▼ 8
Above 3.0%
43%
▼ 8
Above 3.1%
47%
▼ 30
Above 3.1%
47%
▼ 30
Above 3.2%
43%
▼ 34
Above 3.2%
43%
▼ 34
12 more
Market Rules
Above 2.1%
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.1% in the twelve months ending September 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics.
In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 10, 2026 · 2:00pm EDT
Market closesOct 14, 2026 · 8:25am EDT
Projected payoutOct 14, 2026 · 11:00am EDT
SeriesKXCPICOREYOY
EventKXCPICOREYOY-26SEP
MarketKXCPICOREYOY-26SEP-T2.1
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
Core inflation measures the change in prices for a selected basket of goods and services, excluding volatile items like food and energy. It provides a more stable and long-term view of price movements, helping policymakers and economists gauge underlying inflation trends.