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Commercial real estate defaults in Q4 2024? Odds & Predictions
Economics
Commercial real estate defaults in Q4 2024?
Economics
Commercial real estate defaults in Q4 2024?
Above 1%
Yes
Above 1%
Yes
Above 1.5%
Yes
Above 1.5%
Yes
Above 2%
No
Above 2%
No
4 more
Market Rules
Above 1%
The outcome is 1.57
Resolves Yes if
the delinquency rates for commercial real estate loans in quarter 4 2024 is greater than 1%
.
Outcome verified from
Federal Reserve
.
View full rules
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Oct 6, 2023 · 10:00am EDT
Market closed
Feb 18, 2025 · 3:04pm EST
Paid out
Mar 31, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Series
KXCREDEF
Event
CREDEF-24-Q4
Market
CREDEF-24-Q4-1
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Above 1%
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
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