How high will the commercial real estate default rate get in 2024? Odds & Predictions
How high will the commercial real estate default rate get in 2024?
How high will the commercial real estate default rate get in 2024?
Above 1%
Yes
Above 1%
Yes
Above 2%
No
Above 2%
No
Above 3%
No
Above 3%
No
2 more
Market Rules
Above 1%
The outcome is Yes
Resolves Yes ifthe delinquency rates for commercial real estate loans by the end of 2024 in any quarter are greater than 1%.Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.
Timeline and payout
Market openAug 31, 2023 · 4:45pm EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 minute after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Aug 13, 2024 at 10:49am EDT.
SeriesKXCREDEFMAX
EventCREDEFMAX-24-Q4
MarketCREDEFMAX-24-Q4-1
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.