FDA decision: Cytisinicline by Achieve Life Sciences (June 2026) Odds & Predictions
FDA decision: Cytisinicline by Achieve Life Sciences (June 2026)
FDA decision: Cytisinicline by Achieve Life Sciences (June 2026)
Chance
Denied (CRL Issued)
78%
▲ 57
Denied (CRL Issued)
78%
▲ 57
No Decision
10%
▼ 11
No Decision
10%
▼ 11
Conditional / Accelerated Approval
8%
▼ 7
Conditional / Accelerated Approval
8%
▼ 7
2 more
Market Rules
Denied (CRL Issued)
If the FDA's decision on Cytisinicline by Achieve Life Sciences in June 2026 is Denied (CRL Issued) before Jul 1, 2026, the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from AppliedXL.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 9, 2026 · 6:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close early if the FDA issues a decision on Cytisinicline before Jul 1, 2026 Otherwise, it closes by Jun 30, 2026 at 11:59pm EDT.
SeriesKXCYTISINICLINE
EventKXCYTISINICLINE-26
MarketKXCYTISINICLINE-26-DN
Insider trading is prohibited
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