Will total US debt be above $38T at the end of 2025? Odds & Predictions
Important Information: The Underlying for this Contract is the size of the U.S. federal debt in Q4 2025. The Underlying can be found at: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN
Will total US debt be above $38T at the end of 2025?
Will total US debt be above $38T at the end of 2025?
$351,523 vol
Above $38 trillion
Yes
Above $38 trillion
Yes
Market Rules
Above $38 trillion
The outcome is Yes - the U.S. Department of the Treasury reported the size of the U.S. federal debt exceeded $38T on Dec 31, 2025, the end of Q4 2025.
If the United States has a total of above $38 trillion in debt in Q4 2025, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from FRED.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 9, 2025 · 1:00pm EST
Market closedJan 10, 2026 · 4:35pm EST
Paid outJan 30, 2026 · 10:30am EST
SeriesKXDEBTLEVEL
EventKXDEBTLEVEL-25
MarketKXDEBTLEVEL-25
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.