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How close will Comet 3I/ATLAS get to Earth? Odds & Predictions 2025
Science and Technology
How close will Comet 3I/ATLAS get to Earth?
Science and Technology
How close will Comet 3I/ATLAS get to Earth?
1.6 AUs
No
1.6 AUs
No
1.8 AUs
Yes
1.8 AUs
Yes
2.0 AUs
Yes
2.0 AUs
Yes
Market Rules
1.6 AUs
The outcome is No
Resolves Yes if
the closest that Comet 3I/ATLAS gets to Earth is 1.6 AU
.
Outcome verified from
in hierarchical order
,
NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory Center for Near Earth Object Studies
,
the Minor Planet Center
,
the European Space Agency's Space Situational Awareness Programme
,
NASA official announcements
,
JAXA
,
CNSA
,
Roscosmos
,
the Indian Space Research Organisation
,
peer-reviewed scientific journals publishing orbital determinations
,
The International Astronomical Union
,
Nature
,
Science
,
The Astrophysical Journal
,
Astronomy & Astrophysics
,
Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society
,
Icarus
,
The Planetary Science Journal
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Bloomberg News
,
Reuters
,
Scientific American
, and
Space
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Jul 24, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Aug 22, 2025 at 2:44pm EDT.
Series
KXDISTANCE3IATLAS
Event
KXDISTANCE3IATLAS-25
Market
KXDISTANCE3IATLAS-25-1.6
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Buy
Sell
Dollars
1.6 AUs
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
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