Who will be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence? Odds & Predictions 2026
Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).
Who will be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Who will be Trump’s Director of National Intelligence?
Tulsi Gabbard
Yes
Tulsi Gabbard
Yes
Chris Stewart
No
Chris Stewart
No
Robert O'Brien
No
Robert O'Brien
No
Market Rules
Tulsi Gabbard
The outcome is Tulsi Gabbard
If Tulsi Gabbard is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be Director of National Intelligence between November 14, 2024 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 14, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 hour after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Feb 12, 2025 at 6:28pm EST.
SeriesKXDNI
EventKXDNI-26DEC31
MarketKXDNI-26DEC31-TG
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
The Director of National Intelligence (DNI) oversees the U.S. Intelligence Community, manages the National Intelligence Program, and serves as the principal advisor to the President and security councils on national security intelligence. President-elect Trump has nominated Tulsi Gabbard for this role, but she has yet to be confirmed by the Senate. (Source: DNI.gov)