How much will the price of insulin fall this year? Odds & Predictions 2025
How much will the price of insulin fall this year?
How much will the price of insulin fall this year?
More than 10%
$6.26
No
More than 10%
$6.26
No
More than 20%
$5.57
No
More than 20%
$5.57
No
More than 30%
$4.87
No
More than 30%
$4.87
No
More than 40%
$3.48
No
More than 40%
$3.48
No
Market Rules
More than 10%
The outcome is No
If the price of insulin (specifically, insulin aspart 100 unit/ml vial) is less than $6.26 before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from NADAC.
The price of insulin as of May 14, 2025, is $6.95748.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 15, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2026 at 10:00am EST.
SeriesKXDRUGPRICEINSULIN
EventKXDRUGPRICEINSULIN-26
MarketKXDRUGPRICEINSULIN-26-6.26
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.