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How strong of an earthquake will occur this month? Odds & Predictions 2026
Climate and Weather
·
Natural disasters
How strong of an earthquake will occur this month?
Climate and Weather
·
Natural disasters
How strong of an earthquake will occur this month?
7.3+
Yes
7.3+
Yes
7.4+
Yes
7.4+
Yes
7.5+
Yes
7.5+
Yes
5 more
Market Rules
6.8+
The outcome is 7.5+
Resolves Yes if
an earthquake with a magnitude at least 6.8 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs before Jul 1, 2026
.
Outcome verified from
USGS
.
Note: this event is directional.
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Jun 1, 2026 · 5:00pm EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jun 8, 2026 at 10:39am EDT.
Series
KXEARTHQUAKEM
Event
KXEARTHQUAKEM-26JUN
Market
KXEARTHQUAKEM-26JUN-68
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Buy
Sell
Dollars
6.8+
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
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