How strong of an earthquake will occur this month?
How strong of an earthquake will occur this month?
Chance
7.3+
36%
7.3+
36%
7.4+
28%
7.4+
28%
7.5+
20%
7.5+
20%
5 more
Market Rules
6.8+
If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 6.8 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from USGS.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 1, 2026 ยท 5:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXEARTHQUAKEM
EventKXEARTHQUAKEM-26JUN
MarketKXEARTHQUAKEM-26JUN-68
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.