What will the difference be between the popular vote margin and the tipping point margin?
What will the difference be between the popular vote margin and the tipping point margin?
Above -3.8%
Yes
Above -3.8%
Yes
Above 2.8%
No
Above 2.8%
No
Market Rules
Above -3.8%
Resolves Yes if the difference between the national popular vote margin and the margin in the tipping point state is above -3.8%.Outcome verified from United States Congress.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 1, 2024 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out5 minutes after closing
SeriesKXECADVANTAGE
EventKXECADVANTAGE-24
MarketKXECADVANTAGE-24-N3.8
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Holders of federal and statewide public office.
- Paid campaign staffers on presidential campaigns.
- Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
- Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of presidential campaigns.
- Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
- Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
- Paid employees of major polling organizations.
- Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
- All Electors who may cast ballots in connection with the determination of the President and/or Vice-President of the United States
- All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
- All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
- All staff of the Office of the President of the United States
- All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States
- All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Above -3.8%
Odds
0% chanceMax payout