State of the economy at the end of 2026
State of the economy at the end of 2026
Begins in 169 days · Jan 13, 6:00am EST
Chance
Soft landing
Below 5% unemployment and below 3.5% inflation
63.9%
▲ 23.6
Soft landing
Below 5% unemployment and below 3.5% inflation
63.9%
▲ 23.6
Overheating
Below 5% unemployment and at least 3.5% inflation
28.1%
▼ 6.4
Overheating
Below 5% unemployment and at least 3.5% inflation
28.1%
▼ 6.4
Stagflation
At least 5% unemployment and at least 3.5% inflation
12.5%
▲ 0.5
Stagflation
At least 5% unemployment and at least 3.5% inflation
12.5%
▲ 0.5
Slack / disinflation
At least 5% unemployment and below 3.5% inflation
3.1%
▼ 4.7
Slack / disinflation
At least 5% unemployment and below 3.5% inflation
3.1%
▼ 4.7
Soft landing
Odds
0% chanceMax payout