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Series Image
  1. Inflation

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Begins in 62 days · Jan 13, 6:00am EST
Chance
Overheating
Below 5% unemployment and at least 3.5% inflation
70%
▼ 20.1

Overheating

Below 5% unemployment and at least 3.5% inflation
70%
▼ 20.1
Soft landing
Below 5% unemployment and below 3.5% inflation
30.1%
▲ 22.8

Soft landing

Below 5% unemployment and below 3.5% inflation
30.1%
▲ 22.8
Slack / disinflation
At least 5% unemployment and below 3.5% inflation
0.6%
▲ 0.4

Slack / disinflation

At least 5% unemployment and below 3.5% inflation
0.6%
▲ 0.4
Stagflation
At least 5% unemployment and at least 3.5% inflation
0.3%
▼ 0.9

Stagflation

At least 5% unemployment and at least 3.5% inflation
0.3%
▼ 0.9
State of the economy at the end of 2026

Overheating

Odds
72% chance
Max payout
Jan 13, 2027
$0

AI Digest · Real-time GDP estimates point to strong finish for US economy in 2026

Not advice
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