MARKETSPERPSLIVE59
Cash
Portfolio
TrendingElectionsPoliticsCultureSportsCryptoCommoditiesClimate

Economics

MentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive59AccountSocial
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
TrendingElectionsPoliticsCultureSportsCryptoCommoditiesClimate

Economics

MentionsFinanceTech & Science

Economics

All markets
Econ Daily
Econ Weekly
Fed
GDP
Global Central Banks
Growth
Housing
Inflation
Jobs & Economy
Oil and energy
Hub
Fed

Fed funds rate at end of 2027

Above 4.00%
2.19x
Above 3.75%
1.67x
$11,905 vol21 markets
US FED

Fed decision in September?

Fed maintains rate
1.33x
Hike 25bps
3.52x
$9,344,583 vol5 markets
Oil and energy

US gas prices tomorrow

Above 4.065
1.36x
Above 4.070
5.56x
$124,650 vol17 markets
Econ Weekly

US gas prices this week

Above 4.070
5.90x
Above 4.060
1.09x
$348,182 vol27 markets
Inflation

US headline CPI inflation in December 2027

Above 3.0%
1.52x
Above 2.5%
1.33x
$2,243 vol13 markets
Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts
1.16x
Exactly 1 cut
9.41x
$7,029,048 vol21 markets
Fed

Next Fed rate hike?

Before 2027
2.01x
Before July 2027
1.42x
$4,736,330 vol3 markets
Inflation

Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)

Above 3.3%
1.52x
Above 3.4%
2.46x
$79,183 vol26 markets
Jobs & Economy

Unemployment in August

Above 4.1%
1.65x
Above 4.2%
2.98x
$195,081 vol14 markets
Oil and energy

Gas prices in the US this month

Above 4.10
1.90x
Above 4.00
1.34x
$440,359 vol26 markets
Global Central Banks

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September

Maintain current rate
1.06x
Hike 1-25bps
23.4x
$52,590 vol5 markets
Fed

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.06x
$560,607 vol1 market
Growth

US private data center construction spending in July

Above $70.0B
1.86x
Above $72.5B
4.13x
$8,902 vol7 markets
Growth

Recession this year?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.06x
$3,292,378 vol1 market
US FED

Fed funds rate after September meeting?

Above 3.75%
3.52x
Above 4.00%
93.5x
$426,421 vol11 markets
Global Central Banks

Bank of Japan rate decision in September

Hike 25bps
1.22x
Maintain current rate
4.98x
$55,724 vol5 markets
Global Central Banks

Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 4 cuts
2.19x
Exactly 5 cuts
2.46x
$55,580 vol4 markets
Econ Weekly

Initial jobless claims for the week ending August 15, 2026

At least 210,000
2.14x
At least 205,000
1.65x
$16,414 vol11 markets
Inflation

CPI in August

Above 0.3%
1.90x
Above 0.4%
4.31x
$67,933 vol15 markets
GDP

US real GDP growth in 2026?

2.1% to 2.5%
2.94x
1.6% to 2.0%
3.70x
$365,087 vol14 markets
Econ Weekly

How many Fed posts on X this week?

12-14
2.59x
9-11
4.51x
$1,900 vol6 markets
GDP

U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?

Yes
7.85x
No
1.05x
$68,709 vol1 market
Inflation

Argentina inflation rate MoM for August

Above 2.0%
1.79x
Above 2.2%
5.56x
$9,279 vol9 markets
Economics

August 2026 Employment Combo: U3 & NFP

U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k
3.66x
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
7.25x
$22,896 vol12 markets