MARKETS
PERPS
LIVE
59
PRO
NEW
MORE
Cash
Portfolio
Log in
Sign up
Trending
Elections
Politics
Culture
Sports
Crypto
Commodities
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Finance
Tech & Science
Predict
Live
59
Account
Search
Social
Trending
Elections
Politics
Culture
Sports
Crypto
Commodities
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Finance
Tech & Science
Economics
Trending
Frequency
All markets
Econ Daily
Econ Weekly
Fed
GDP
Global Central Banks
Growth
Housing
Inflation
Jobs & Economy
Oil and energy
Hub
Fed
Fed funds rate at end of 2027
Above 4.00%
2.19
x
43
%
Above 3.75%
1.67
x
55
%
$11,905 vol
21 markets
US FED
Fed decision in September?
Fed maintains rate
1.33
x
73
%
Hike 25bps
3.52
x
26
%
$9,344,583 vol
5 markets
Oil and energy
US gas prices tomorrow
Above 4.065
1.36
x
72
%
Above 4.070
5.56
x
16
%
$124,650 vol
17 markets
Econ Weekly
US gas prices this week
Above 4.070
5.90
x
18
%
Above 4.060
1.09
x
91
%
$348,182 vol
27 markets
Inflation
US headline CPI inflation in December 2027
Above 3.0%
1.52
x
29
%
Above 2.5%
1.33
x
50
%
$2,243 vol
13 markets
Fed
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Exactly 0 cuts
1.16
x
85
%
Exactly 1 cut
9.41
x
10
%
$7,029,048 vol
21 markets
Fed
Next Fed rate hike?
Before 2027
2.01
x
47
%
Before July 2027
1.42
x
69
%
$4,736,330 vol
3 markets
Inflation
Inflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
Above 3.3%
1.52
x
64
%
Above 3.4%
2.46
x
39
%
$79,183 vol
26 markets
Jobs & Economy
Unemployment in August
Above 4.1%
1.65
x
59
%
Above 4.2%
2.98
x
32
%
$195,081 vol
14 markets
Oil and energy
Gas prices in the US this month
Above 4.10
1.90
x
46
%
Above 4.00
1.34
x
73
%
$440,359 vol
26 markets
Global Central Banks
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
Maintain current rate
1.06
x
92
%
Hike 1-25bps
23.4
x
4
%
$52,590 vol
5 markets
Fed
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
Yes
13.4
x
6
%
No
1.06
x
94
%
$560,607 vol
1 market
Growth
US private data center construction spending in July
Above $70.0B
1.86
x
51
%
Above $72.5B
4.13
x
23
%
$8,902 vol
7 markets
Growth
Recession this year?
Yes
13.4
x
8
%
No
1.06
x
92
%
$3,292,378 vol
1 market
US FED
Fed funds rate after September meeting?
Above 3.75%
3.52
x
27
%
Above 4.00%
93.5
x
1
%
$426,421 vol
11 markets
Global Central Banks
Bank of Japan rate decision in September
Hike 25bps
1.22
x
81
%
Maintain current rate
4.98
x
17
%
$55,724 vol
5 markets
Global Central Banks
Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?
Exactly 4 cuts
2.19
x
41
%
Exactly 5 cuts
2.46
x
39
%
$55,580 vol
4 markets
Econ Weekly
Initial jobless claims for the week ending August 15, 2026
At least 210,000
2.14
x
44
%
At least 205,000
1.65
x
58
%
$16,414 vol
11 markets
Inflation
CPI in August
Above 0.3%
1.90
x
50
%
Above 0.4%
4.31
x
13
%
$67,933 vol
15 markets
GDP
US real GDP growth in 2026?
2.1% to 2.5%
2.94
x
34
%
1.6% to 2.0%
3.70
x
28
%
$365,087 vol
14 markets
Econ Weekly
How many Fed posts on X this week?
12-14
2.59
x
36
%
9-11
4.51
x
21
%
$1,900 vol
6 markets
GDP
U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
Yes
7.85
x
6
%
No
1.05
x
94
%
$68,709 vol
1 market
Inflation
Argentina inflation rate MoM for August
Above 2.0%
1.79
x
53
%
Above 2.2%
5.56
x
16
%
$9,279 vol
9 markets
Economics
August 2026 Employment Combo: U3 & NFP
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: Below 50k
3.66
x
26
%
U3: 4.1% or below, NFP growth: 50-99k
7.25
x
12
%
$22,896 vol
12 markets