Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q2 2026 Odds & Predictions
Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q2 2026
Fed Funds (EFFR) at end of Q2 2026
Begins in 24 days · Jul 1, 8:00am EDT
Chance
Above 3.00%
99%
Above 3.00%
99%
Above 3.25%
98%
Above 3.25%
98%
Above 3.50%
97%
Above 3.50%
97%
2 more
Market Rules
Above 3.00%
If the first published Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) value for June 30, 2026 is above 3.00%, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 1, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. Otherwise, it closes by Jul 1, 2026 at 8:59am EDT.
SeriesKXEFFR
EventKXEFFR-26JUL01
MarketKXEFFR-26JUL01-T3.00
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.