Series Image

Number of emergency rate cuts this year?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
forecast
Feb 6Feb 20Mar 6Mar 20Apr 30.40.50.60.70.8
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

2025
Chance
$48,476vol

0 cuts
84%

1 cuts
7%

2 cuts
2%

2 more markets

Rules summary for
0 cuts
If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 0 times at emergency meetings in 2025, the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.
To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on). Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Series Image
Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
Buy Yes · 0 cuts
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side
Contracts0
Average price
82¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0