Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
▲ 00
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025
Chance
$79,552vol
0 cuts
70%
1 cuts
9%
▲ 4
2 cuts
11%
2 more markets
Rules summary for
0 cuts
If the Fed cuts the target federal funds rate exactly 0 times at emergency meetings in 2025, the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Federal Reserve.
To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on). Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Timeline and payout
Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
Buy Yes · 0 cutsBuy
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