How many government employees will Trump cut in 2025? Odds & Predictions
How many government employees will Trump cut in 2025?
How many government employees will Trump cut in 2025?
More than 100,000
Yes
More than 100,000
Yes
More than 250,000
Yes
More than 250,000
Yes
More than 500,000
No
More than 500,000
No
2 more
Market Rules
More than 50,000
The outcome is Yes
If there are more than 50,000 federal employees no longer working, relative to the January 2025 employee count, before January 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from FRED.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 12, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out5 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jun 9, 2025 at 10:33am EDT.
SeriesKXFEDEMPLOYEES
EventKXFEDEMPLOYEES-26JAN
MarketKXFEDEMPLOYEES-26JAN-50000
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.