US real GDP growth in 2030?
US real GDP growth in 2030?
Chance
0.0% or Below
5%
0.0% or Below
5%
0.1% to 0.5%
10%
0.1% to 0.5%
10%
0.6% to 1.0%
10%
0.6% to 1.0%
10%
11 more
Market Rules
0.0% or Below
If the United States real GDP growth in 2030 is below 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2030. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2030 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2030 GDP in early 2031. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 8, 2026 · 5:30pm EDT
Market closesFeb 28, 2031 · 8:29am EST
Projected payoutFeb 28, 2031 · 8:59am EST
SeriesKXGDPYEAR
EventKXGDPYEAR-30
MarketKXGDPYEAR-30-T0.1
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.