When will Germany form a stable government?

Before May 1%

ALL

2025

Chance

$99,896vol

Before May

<1%

Before May

<1%

Before March 15

Before April

Rules summary for

Before March 15

The outcome is No

If the German government forms a new, stable government before Mar 15, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from government of Germany and Politico EU.

Timeline and payout

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