When will Germany form a stable government?

Before April 1%

Before May 79%

ALL

2025

Chance

$43,190vol

Before April

<1%

Before April

<1%

Before May

79%

▲ 9

Before May

79%

▲ 9

Before March 15

Rules summary for

Before May

If the German government forms a new, stable government before May 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from government of Germany and Politico EU.

Timeline and payout

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