Who will succeed Kevin Hern as Policy Committee chair? Odds & Predictions 2026
Who will succeed Kevin Hern as Policy Committee chair?
Who will succeed Kevin Hern as Policy Committee chair?
Jay Obernolte
Yes
Jay Obernolte
Yes
Claudia Tenney
No
Claudia Tenney
No
Market Rules
Jay Obernolte
The outcome is Jay Obernolte
If Jay Obernolte wins the next House Republican Policy Committee chair election, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from House Republican Conference.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 13, 2026 ยท 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the election winner is officially declared or certified. Otherwise, it closes by Apr 26, 2026 at 11:39am EDT.
SeriesKXGOPPOLICYCHAIR
EventKXGOPPOLICYCHAIR-26APR01
MarketKXGOPPOLICYCHAIR-26APR01-JOBE
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