Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
▲
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
During Trump's term
$156,394vol
Order book
Order book
Rules summary
If the United States acquires any part of Greenland before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The New York Times.
An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.