How many guinea worm cases will there be this year?

How many guinea worm cases will there be this year?

Less than 5

No

Less than 5

No

Less than 10

No

Less than 10

No

Less than 15

Yes

Less than 15

Yes

Market Rules

Less than 5

The outcome is No

Resolves Yes if there are fewer than 5 confirmed worldwide human cases of Dracunculiasis (Guinea worm disease) in 2025.Outcome verified from Carter Center.

Timeline and payout

Market openJun 13, 2025 · 10:00am EDT

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 11:59pm EST.

SeriesKXGUINEAWORM

EventKXGUINEAWORM-25

MarketKXGUINEAWORM-25-5

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.