Will there be human-to-human transmission of the bird flu?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
▲
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
What is Kalshi?
Kalshi is the first regulated platform in the US where you can trade on events, just like stocks. Think of it as the NYSE, but for things you relate to, care about, and understand.
Before June 2025
$4,616vol
Order book
Order book
Rules summary
If the CDC state or publishes research explicitly confirming human-to-human H5 tranmission in the avian flu outbreak in the United States before Jun 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from CDC.