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January 2026 temperature increase? Odds & Predictions
Climate and Weather
·
Climate change
January 2026 temperature increase?
Climate and Weather
·
Climate change
January 2026 temperature increase?
1.03 to 1.09
No
1.03 to 1.09
No
1.10 to 1.16
Yes
1.10 to 1.16
Yes
1.17 to 1.23
No
1.17 to 1.23
No
3 more
Market Rules
1.02999 or below
The outcome is 1.12
Resolves Yes if
the Land Ocean-Temperature Index for Jan 2026 is below 1.03
.
Outcome verified from
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Dec 27, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closed
Feb 15, 2026 · 11:59pm EST
Paid out
Feb 17, 2026 · 11:00am EST
Series
KXHMONTHRANGE
Event
KXHMONTHRANGE-26JAN
Market
KXHMONTHRANGE-26JAN-T1.03
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Buy
Sell
Dollars
1.02999 or below
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
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