How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?
How many House seats will Democrats win in Florida?
Begins in 144 days · Nov 3, 8:00am EST
Chance
Below 4
6%
Below 4
6%
4
16%
4
16%
5
8%
5
8%
6 more
Market Rules
Below 4
If Democrats win below 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Florida, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Florida Secretary of State.
A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either:
- The time for legal challenges has expired
- Challenges have been resolved
- The member has taken their seat
Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 27, 2026 · 1:30pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXHOUSEWINSTATE
EventKXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD
MarketKXHOUSEWINSTATE-FLD-B4
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